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U.S. market closeVerified
Mixed

S&P 500 falls 1.82%

6 of 11 sectors advanced. Energy ranked first; Technology ranked last.

Participation
Russell 2000 -1.66%; 0.16 pp ahead of the S&P 500. Equal-weight RSP -0.79% vs SPY -1.77%.
Large caps
0 of 9 tracked stocks rose. TSLA -0.87%; AVGO -5.48%.
Rates & commodities
10-year yield 4.93% (-6 bps). Dollar -0.12%; gold -3.54%.
1D
S&P 500 close7,580.07
-1.82%Full chart ↗

5-minute bars · 2026-10-30
Open
7,631.07
High
7,637.48
Low
7,527.56
Prev. close
7,720.39

Session read

Claude interpretation · Oct 30 close

The reading

Technology and chip-heavy names drove the decline, while energy and defensive sectors held up, so equal weight fell less than cap weight.

The counterpoint

Sector participation was fairly balanced, and several large caps fell less than the Nasdaq, so the weakness was concentrated rather than uniform.

What would change it

If technology and semiconductor names stabilize, the case for narrow, tech-led weakness would weaken.

Supporting evidence · 8 observations
  • Energy (XLE) led at +1.91%; Technology (XLK) trailed at -4.89%. The sector return spread was 6.80 percentage points.

    2026-10-30 · Report data
  • Equal-weight S&P 500 (RSP) -0.79% versus SPY -1.77%; RSP led by 0.98 percentage points.

    2026-10-30 · Report data
  • XLK minus SPY: 1d -3.12 pp, 5d -1.47 pp, 1m -8.17 pp.

    2026-10-30 · Report data
  • 6 of 11 sector ETFs rose; 5 fell.

    2026-10-30 · Report data
  • Among tracked large caps, TSLA led at -0.87%; AVGO trailed at -5.48%. 0 of 9 tracked large caps advanced.

    2026-10-30 · Report data
  • Nasdaq -2.86%, 1.04 percentage points behind the S&P 500.

    2026-10-30 · Report data
  • AVGO -5.48%, 2.62 percentage points behind the Nasdaq.

    2026-10-30 · Report data
  • MU -5.30%, 2.44 percentage points behind the Nasdaq.

    2026-10-30 · Report data

Sectors

Sector ETF returns over 1 session, ranked highest to lowest
Sector / ETFReturn relative to zero1D
EnergyXLE+1.91%
Consumer StaplesXLP+1.41%
UtilitiesXLU+0.67%
HealthcareXLV+0.45%
MaterialsXLB+0.40%
Real EstateXLRE+0.26%
Consumer DiscretionaryXLY-0.71%
FinancialsXLF-0.76%
Communication ServicesXLC-1.29%
IndustrialsXLI-1.60%
TechnologyXLK-4.89%

Large caps

Large-cap closing prices and returns over 1 session
Close
TSLATesla$399.81-0.87%
AAPLApple$344.63-1.23%
GOOGLAlphabet$279.84-1.40%
AMZNAmazon$240.35-1.41%
METAMeta Platforms$614.99-1.53%
MSFTMicrosoft$521.91-1.55%
NVDANvidia$204.64-4.22%
MUMicron Technology$884.74-5.30%
AVGOBroadcom$326.08-5.48%

Next session

Next session · Monday, Nov 2

  1. Time unavailable
    AAPL earnings

    EarningsRelease time not provided

    Actual
    —
    Consensus
    EPS est. 1.98
    Previous
    —
Previous session · 5 events

Report session · Friday, Oct 30

  1. Employment Cost Index q/q

    EmploymentImportance: Medium

    Actual
    —
    Consensus
    0.8%
    Previous
    0.9%
  2. Chicago PMI

    Business surveysImportance: Low

    Actual
    —
    Consensus
    55.8
    Previous
    58.8
  3. FOMC Member Daly Speaks

    Central bankImportance: Low

  4. FOMC Member Musalem Speaks

    Central bankImportance: Low

  5. FOMC Member Logan Speaks

    Central bankImportance: Low

Headlines

  1. OfficialEconomic data
    Major Economic Indicators Latest Numbers
    U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

Closing levels

S&P 500
7,580.07
VIX
19.42
10Y yield
4.93%
Sectors advancing
6 / 11

Market data

Regime historyMixed
LAST 60 SESSIONS15 constructive27 mixed18 defensive
MixedFri, Oct 30, 2026S&P 500 -1.82% · VIX +12.91% · 6/11 sectors upPublished in that day's issue

Solid cells were published in an archived issue (31); outlined cells are reconstructed from daily closes with the same rule, using only that day's moves. Constructive: S&P 500 up, VIX down, all 11 sector ETFs reporting and at least 60% advancing. Defensive: S&P 500 down, VIX up, all 11 reporting and at most 40% advancing. Otherwise mixed.

Versus prior sessionsBreadth -6.4 pp vs average · S&P 5-session -0.56%
Breadth vs prior average
-6.4 pp
VIX rank in sample
90%
Regime streak
4
Top-sector streak
Energy · 1
S&P 5-session
-0.56%
Rates & credit10Y 4.93% · -6 bps
TREASURY YIELDSSESSION CLOSE (CBOE INDEX) · OFFICIAL PAR CURVE (U.S. TREASURY)
TenorSession close1DOfficial pard/d
3M3.973%-3 bps4.18%+0 bps
2YNo index—4.61%-6 bps
5Y4.721%-8 bps4.78%-7 bps
10Y4.929%-6 bps4.98%-7 bps
30Y5.309%-2 bps5.32%-5 bps

Official curve as of Oct 29 (prior session). Treasury publishes it late in the afternoon, so the Close Tape can show the prior session. U.S. Treasury ↗

CURVEBASIS POINTS
2s10s+37 bps-1 bps d/d2Y → 10Y · official curve as of Oct 29 (prior session)
3M–10Y+80 bps-7 bps d/d3M → 10Y · official curve as of Oct 29 (prior session)
5s30s+54 bps+2 bps d/d5Y → 30Y · official curve as of Oct 29 (prior session)
5s10s+20.8 bpsSession close5Y → 10Y · Cboe yield indexes
CREDITSPREADS ARE ACTUAL OAS · ETF ROWS ARE PRICE PROXIES
HYG ETF proxy$77.43-0.19% priceHigh-yield corporate bond ETF. A price, not a spread.LQD ETF proxy$104.27+0.05% priceInvestment-grade corporate bond ETF. A price, not a spread.
REAL YIELDS & RATE VOLATILITYTREASURY REAL PAR CURVE · ICE BOFA MOVE
5Y REAL YIELD2.31%-5 bps d/dTreasury real par curve as of Oct 29 (prior session)
10Y REAL YIELD2.63%-4 bps d/dTreasury real par curve as of Oct 29 (prior session)
TIP ETF proxy$106.69+0.23% priceTIPS bond ETF price, not a real yield.MOVE INDEX100.13+7.05%Treasury implied volatility · Yahoo Finance
Breadth & internals55% of sectors positive
SECTORS ADVANCING6 / 11

5 declined · 54.5% positive

EQUAL VS CAP WEIGHT · 1D+0.98 pp

RSP minus SPY. Equal weight led.

EQUAL VS CAP · 5D / 1M+1.4 pp / +5.5 pp

Total-return spread. Persistent positives favor broader participation.

20-SESSION HIGHS / LOWS5 / 7

Closing highs vs lows across 24 tracked instruments.

SECTORS ABOVE 20-DAY73%

8 of 11 sector ETFs above their moving average.

SECTORS ABOVE 50-DAY73%

8 of 11 sector ETFs above their moving average.

SECTORS ABOVE 200-DAY55%

6 of 11 sector ETFs above their moving average.

SECTOR ADVANCE / DECLINE · 20 SESSIONS+41Cumulative net advancing sector ETFs. Daily total return including dividends.
Oct 5: net +9, cumulative +9Oct 6: net +9, cumulative +18Oct 7: net -9, cumulative +9Oct 8: net +5, cumulative +14Oct 9: net +7, cumulative +21Oct 12: net +5, cumulative +26Oct 13: net -1, cumulative +25Oct 14: net -5, cumulative +20Oct 15: net +5, cumulative +25Oct 16: net +1, cumulative +26Oct 19: net -5, cumulative +21Oct 20: net +9, cumulative +30Oct 21: net +3, cumulative +33Oct 22: net +1, cumulative +34Oct 23: net -5, cumulative +29Oct 26: net +4, cumulative +33Oct 27: net -1, cumulative +32Oct 28: net +1, cumulative +33Oct 29: net +7, cumulative +40Oct 30: net +1, cumulative +41

Universes: 11 S&P sector ETFs; SPY and RSP; 20-session highs and lows across sector ETFs, tracked mega-caps, SPY, RSP, QQQ and IWM. Not covered by current data sources: NYSE and Nasdaq advance/decline counts; Exchange-wide new highs and new lows; Share of index constituents above moving averages. These are left out rather than approximated.

Relative strength vs SPY1D · 5D · 1M
RELATIVE STRENGTH VS SPYPERCENTAGE POINTS OF TOTAL RETURN · LEADING = AHEAD OF SPY IN ALL THREE WINDOWS
Sector ETFs
Name1D5D1MTrend
EnergyXLE+3.68 pp+1.55 pp+12.76 ppLeading
Cons. StaplesXLP+3.18 pp+1.87 pp+12.40 ppLeading
HealthcareXLV+2.22 pp+3.68 pp+12.32 ppLeading
UtilitiesXLU+2.44 pp+2.60 pp+10.53 ppLeading
MaterialsXLB+2.17 pp+3.35 pp+9.74 ppLeading
Real EstateXLRE+2.03 pp+1.97 pp+7.20 ppLeading
Cons. DiscretionaryXLY+1.06 pp+2.58 pp+7.12 ppLeading
FinancialsXLF+1.01 pp+1.65 pp+6.79 ppLeading
IndustrialsXLI+0.17 pp+2.25 pp+0.35 ppLeading
Comm. ServicesXLC+0.48 pp-4.76 pp-8.05 ppMixed
TechnologyXLK-3.12 pp-1.47 pp-8.17 ppLagging
Tracked large caps
Name1D5D1MTrend
TeslaTSLA+0.90 pp+7.97 pp+13.99 ppLeading
AppleAAPL+0.54 pp-0.33 pp+5.41 ppMixed
MicrosoftMSFT+0.22 pp+0.06 pp+2.86 ppLeading
AmazonAMZN+0.36 pp-2.53 pp-2.09 ppMixed
BroadcomAVGO-3.71 pp+1.93 pp-4.03 ppMixed
NvidiaNVDA-2.45 pp-2.44 pp-10.28 ppLagging
Meta PlatformsMETA+0.24 pp-3.74 pp-14.20 ppMixed
AlphabetGOOGL+0.37 pp-12.05 pp-16.18 ppMixed
Micron TechnologyMU-3.53 pp+1.38 pp-18.28 ppMixed
Global markets & cryptoNikkei +1.10% · ETH -4.59%
MarketLast1D
Nikkei 225 · JapanLocal close Oct 2964,659.47+1.10%
Euro Stoxx 50 · Europe6,131.31-1.22%
FTSE 100 · U.K.10,729.78+0.07%
Hang Seng · Hong KongLocal close Oct 2922,958.65-0.59%
BitcoinUTC day Oct 29$77,775-4.30%
EthereumUTC day Oct 29$2,249-4.59%
SolanaUTC day Oct 29$95-6.66%
XRPUTC day Oct 29$1.2349-6.75%
Data & sourcesVerified · 100% coverage · generated Oct 30, 2026, 3:34 PM CDT

Moves compare the latest completed U.S. session with the prior close. Breadth is the share of the 11 sector ETFs that finished higher. Market data from Yahoo Finance via yfinance, with Stooq as a fallback for core indexes.