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Archived editionYou are reading the Tuesday, October 6, 2026 close.

Figures are exactly as published after that session and are never revised. The current report lives on the Close Tape.

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ARCHIVED DAILY TAPEIssue 26.41

44/44 quotes verifiedThrough Oct 6 close · Yahoo FinanceSource details ↓

S&P 500 rises 0.58%Utilities led as most sectors advanced

Russell 2000 -0.59%, 1.17 points behind the S&P 500. 10 of 11 sector ETFs rose.

S&P +0.58%Breadth 10/11VIX -3.29%
01 / MARKETConstructive close

S&P +0.58%; Nasdaq +0.45%; VIX ended at 15.01.

02 / LEADERSHIPUtilities over Healthcare

A 3.15-point spread separated the best and worst sectors.

03 / INTERNALSBroad breadth

Equal weight outperformed by 0.02 percentage points. This is a participation proxy, not an attribution of index contributions.

BriefThe tape

Major indexes

Previous close to latest close. Sparklines show the verified regular-hours session path when available.

01

Overview

How today fits the recent run of sessions, and the markets you follow.

OverviewRegime history

Recent regimes

Today's regime in the context of recent sessions. Select a day to see its inputs.

LAST 60 SESSIONS14 constructive28 mixed18 defensive
ConstructiveTue, Oct 6, 2026S&P 500 +0.58% · VIX -3.29% · 10/11 sectors upPublished in that day's issue

Solid cells were published in an archived issue (13); outlined cells are reconstructed from daily closes with the same rule, using only that day's moves. Constructive: S&P 500 up, VIX down, all 11 sector ETFs reporting and at least 60% advancing. Defensive: S&P 500 down, VIX up, all 11 reporting and at most 40% advancing. Otherwise mixed.

OverviewHistorical context

How this session compared

Context is calculated only from earlier archived Daily Tape sessions, so the comparison never uses future data.

BREADTH VS PRIOR AVG+42.4 pp

Prior 12-session average: 48.5%

VIX SAMPLE RANK38%

Percentile rank within the current plus prior archived-session sample.

REGIME STREAK1

Consecutive archived sessions with the same regime classification.

LEADERSHIP STREAK1

Utilities ranked first in 1 consecutive archived session and 2 of the last 10.

S&P 5-SESSION+1.92%

Compounded from five archived Daily Tape session returns.

02

Leadership & participation

What is actually participating in the move?

LeadershipSector leadership

Sector returns, ranked

All 11 sector ETFs ranked by session return, with weighting and participation checks.

CAP-WEIGHTED (SPY)+0.55%
EQUAL-WEIGHT (RSP)+0.57%
ADVANCING / DECLINING10 / 1
POSITIVE SECTORS90.9%

Utilities (XLU) led at +2.98% and Healthcare (XLV) trailed at -0.17%, a 3.15-point gap. Interpretation: The return spread between the strongest and weakest sectors shows relative leadership, not fund flows or a verified catalyst.

01Utilities (XLU)+2.98%
02Cons. Discretionary (XLY)+1.18%
03Real Estate (XLRE)+1.06%
04Cons. Staples (XLP)+0.94%
05Industrials (XLI)+0.87%
06Technology (XLK)+0.53%
07Energy (XLE)+0.47%
08Materials (XLB)+0.46%
09Financials (XLF)+0.24%
10Comm. Services (XLC)+0.04%
11Healthcare (XLV)-0.17%

LeadershipRelative strength

Performance versus SPY

Persistent leaders versus one-day winners, measured against SPY.

RELATIVE STRENGTH VS SPYPERCENTAGE POINTS OF TOTAL RETURN · LEADING = AHEAD OF SPY IN ALL THREE WINDOWS
Sector ETFs
Name1D5D1MTrend
TechnologyXLK-0.02 pp+1.90 pp+6.58 ppMixed
EnergyXLE-0.08 pp+1.65 pp-1.27 ppMixed
Comm. ServicesXLC-0.51 pp-1.77 pp-1.42 ppLagging
IndustrialsXLI+0.32 pp-0.49 pp-3.24 ppMixed
HealthcareXLV-0.72 pp-4.07 pp-3.55 ppLagging
Cons. DiscretionaryXLY+0.63 pp+0.42 pp-3.95 ppMixed
Cons. StaplesXLP+0.39 pp-2.00 pp-4.04 ppMixed
UtilitiesXLU+2.43 pp+1.71 pp-5.14 ppMixed
MaterialsXLB-0.09 pp-0.66 pp-6.12 ppLagging
Real EstateXLRE+0.51 pp-2.51 pp-7.05 ppMixed
FinancialsXLF-0.31 pp-1.94 pp-8.12 ppLagging
Tracked large caps
Name1D5D1MTrend
Meta PlatformsMETA-0.96 pp-1.93 pp+18.51 ppMixed
TeslaTSLA-0.04 pp+5.94 pp+6.11 ppMixed
MicrosoftMSFT+0.23 pp+2.04 pp+4.51 ppLeading
BroadcomAVGO+3.12 pp+3.90 pp+3.81 ppLeading
AppleAAPL-0.33 pp-0.66 pp+2.87 ppMixed
NvidiaNVDA-0.41 pp+3.36 pp+2.59 ppMixed
Micron TechnologyMU-2.28 pp-3.78 pp+1.45 ppMixed
AlphabetGOOGL-0.20 pp+0.04 pp+1.34 ppMixed
AmazonAMZN+1.40 pp+1.97 pp-2.25 ppMixed

LeadershipMarket internals

Breadth and participation

Participation measured across stated, tracked universes. None of these is presented as NYSE or Nasdaq constituent breadth.

SECTORS ADVANCING10 / 11

1 declined · 90.9% positive

EQUAL VS CAP WEIGHT · 1D+0.02 pp

RSP minus SPY. Equal weight led.

EQUAL VS CAP · 5D / 1M-0.6 pp / -4.1 pp

Total-return spread. Persistent positives favor broader participation.

20-SESSION HIGHS / LOWS7 / 0

Closing highs vs lows across 24 tracked instruments.

SECTORS ABOVE 20-DAY46%

5 of 11 sector ETFs above their moving average.

SECTORS ABOVE 50-DAY18%

2 of 11 sector ETFs above their moving average.

SECTORS ABOVE 200-DAY36%

4 of 11 sector ETFs above their moving average.

SECTOR ADVANCE / DECLINE · 20 SESSIONS-22Cumulative net advancing sector ETFs. Daily total return including dividends.
Sep 9: net -8, cumulative -8Sep 10: net -7, cumulative -15Sep 11: net +7, cumulative -8Sep 14: net -5, cumulative -13Sep 15: net -7, cumulative -20Sep 16: net -6, cumulative -26Sep 17: net +7, cumulative -19Sep 18: net -7, cumulative -26Sep 21: net +3, cumulative -23Sep 22: net +1, cumulative -22Sep 23: net -9, cumulative -31Sep 24: net -5, cumulative -36Sep 25: net +5, cumulative -31Sep 28: net -5, cumulative -36Sep 29: net -3, cumulative -39Sep 30: net -9, cumulative -48Oct 1: net -1, cumulative -49Oct 2: net +9, cumulative -40Oct 5: net +9, cumulative -31Oct 6: net +9, cumulative -22

Universes: 11 S&P sector ETFs; SPY and RSP; 20-session highs and lows across sector ETFs, tracked mega-caps, SPY, RSP, QQQ and IWM. Not covered by current data sources: NYSE and Nasdaq advance/decline counts; Exchange-wide new highs and new lows; Share of index constituents above moving averages. These are left out rather than approximated.

03

What drove the tape

The verified context around the session, the read it supports, and the names that set the pace.

DriversVerified catalysts

Verified news from the session

Developments published between the prior close and this report, from official sources first and allowlisted publishers second. Listed as context, never as the cause of a move.

  1. Official sourceFed speech
    Bowman, Modernizing the Regulatory and Supervisory Landscape
    Federal Reserve
  2. Official sourceEconomic data
    U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services, August 2026
    U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis
INTERPRETATIONBASED ON OBSERVED DATA
“Equity direction, volatility and sector participation point the same way, which supports a risk-on reading.”

S&P 500 +0.58%; VIX -3.29%; 91% of sector ETFs rose. Interpretation reflects price relationships; no event catalyst is inferred.

DriversMega-cap & AI

Largest companies by market cap

The market’s largest leaders, ordered by market cap: close, session range, daily return, and the latest verified price path.

Among the largest stocks, AVGO led at +3.67% and MU trailed at -1.73%. Interpretation: Dispersion within the selected large-cap sample separates stock-specific exposure from the headline mega-cap narrative, with no catalyst verified.

NVDANvidia · $5.78T
+0.14%

NVDA +0.14%, 0.31 points behind the Nasdaq.

$239.24
DAY LOW $238.93DAY HIGH $243.37View asset
REGULAR SESSION5 MIN
AAPLApple · $4.87T
+0.22%

AAPL +0.22%, 0.23 points behind the Nasdaq.

$333.63
DAY LOW $330.62DAY HIGH $334.38View asset
REGULAR SESSION5 MIN
GOOGLAlphabet · $4.25T
+0.35%

GOOGL +0.35%, 0.10 points behind the Nasdaq.

$347.68
DAY LOW $344.68DAY HIGH $349.09View asset
REGULAR SESSION5 MIN
MSFTMicrosoft · $3.93T
+0.78%

MSFT +0.78%, 0.33 points ahead of the Nasdaq.

$529.30
DAY LOW $528.82DAY HIGH $535.69View asset
REGULAR SESSION5 MIN
AMZNAmazon · $2.76T
+1.95%

AMZN +1.95%, 1.50 points ahead of the Nasdaq.

$256.29
DAY LOW $251.08DAY HIGH $256.67View asset
REGULAR SESSION5 MIN
METAMeta Platforms · $1.88T
-0.41%

META -0.41%, 0.86 points behind the Nasdaq.

$738.88
DAY LOW $736.69DAY HIGH $747.60View asset
REGULAR SESSION5 MIN
AVGOBroadcom · $1.79T
+3.67%

AVGO +3.67%, 3.22 points ahead of the Nasdaq.

$375.81
DAY LOW $364.01DAY HIGH $380.84View asset
REGULAR SESSION5 MIN
TSLATesla · $1.50T
+0.51%

TSLA +0.51%, 0.06 points ahead of the Nasdaq.

$380.68
DAY LOW $378.52DAY HIGH $383.33View asset
REGULAR SESSION5 MIN
MUMicron Technology · $1.18T
-1.73%

MU -1.73%, 2.18 points behind the Nasdaq.

$1,045.56
DAY LOW $1,045.26DAY HIGH $1,074.31View asset
REGULAR SESSION5 MIN

04

Cross-asset & macro

Yields, oil, the dollar, credit, overseas closes and crypto: the read beyond U.S. equities.

MacroMacro pulse

Yields eased.
Oil gained.

The ten-year yield closed at 5.27%, a -4.00 basis-point change. Interpretation: Lower yields can ease the valuation hurdle for duration-sensitive equities, though co-movement is not proof of causality.

POSITIVE SECTOR SHARE90.9%
Cap-weighted S&P +0.55% vs. equal weight +0.57%
S&P 500 / REGULAR SESSION7,818.93
Low 7,810.57 · High 7,842.73 · 78 points · Range change +9.26
DAY LOW7,805.96
DAY HIGH7,844.52
NASDAQ 1D+0.45%

MacroRates & credit

Treasury yields and credit

Session yields, the official Treasury curve, actual credit spreads and bond ETF proxies, each labeled with its source and date.

TREASURY YIELDSSESSION CLOSE (CBOE INDEX) · OFFICIAL PAR CURVE (U.S. TREASURY)
TenorSession close1DOfficial pard/d
3M4.040%+2 bps4.22%+3 bps
2YNo index—4.84%+1 bps
5Y5.030%-4 bps5.06%+0 bps
10Y5.270%-4 bps5.31%+3 bps
30Y5.640%-2 bps5.66%+3 bps

Official curve as of Oct 5 (prior session). Treasury publishes it late in the afternoon, so the Close Tape can show the prior session. U.S. Treasury ↗

CURVEBASIS POINTS
2s10s+47 bps+2 bps d/d2Y → 10Y · official curve as of Oct 5 (prior session)
3M–10Y+109 bps+0 bps d/d3M → 10Y · official curve as of Oct 5 (prior session)
5s30s+60 bps+3 bps d/d5Y → 30Y · official curve as of Oct 5 (prior session)
5s10s+24.0 bpsSession close5Y → 10Y · Cboe yield indexes
CREDITSPREADS ARE ACTUAL OAS · ETF ROWS ARE PRICE PROXIES
HYG ETF proxy$77.27+0.38% priceHigh-yield corporate bond ETF. A price, not a spread.LQD ETF proxy$102.14+0.30% priceInvestment-grade corporate bond ETF. A price, not a spread.
REAL YIELDS & RATE VOLATILITYTREASURY REAL PAR CURVE · ICE BOFA MOVE
5Y REAL YIELD2.70%+1 bps d/dTreasury real par curve as of Oct 5 (prior session)
10Y REAL YIELD2.95%+3 bps d/dTreasury real par curve as of Oct 5 (prior session)
TIP ETF proxy$104.18+0.19% priceTIPS bond ETF price, not a real yield.MOVE INDEX105.20-7.39%Treasury implied volatility · Yahoo Finance

MacroGlobal check

Overseas closes

Regional closes, daily direction, and each market’s latest verified path. Local closing times differ from New York.

MARKETREGIONCLOSE1DPATH
Nikkei 225Local close Oct 5Japan69,946.86+2.40%
Euro Stoxx 50Europe6,272.23+0.48%
FTSE 100United Kingdom10,541.69+0.42%
Hang SengLocal close Oct 5Hong Kong24,040.34+0.28%

MacroDigital assets

Major cryptocurrencies

Crypto trades around the clock; each move is measured over the reported session.

BTC-0.18%
$85,635
BitcoinView asset
VERIFIED PATH15 MIN

BTC-USD -0.18% for the reported session.

ETH-0.57%
$2,696
EthereumView asset
VERIFIED PATH15 MIN

ETH-USD -0.57% for the reported session.

SOL+0.25%
$121
SolanaView asset
VERIFIED PATH15 MIN

SOL-USD +0.25% for the reported session.

XRP-0.66%
$1.5000
XRPView asset
VERIFIED PATH15 MIN

XRP-USD -0.66% for the reported session.

05

Next session

What matters next: the takeaways from this close, the scheduled events, and what to watch.

AheadDecision summary

Three takeaways

The move, the cross-asset read, and the marker that matters next.

01Observed

10 of 11 sector ETFs rose.

02Interpretation

Participation across sector ETFs was broad, a constructive backdrop that still warrants confirmation from further sessions.

03Next-session checks

Participation above 10/11 advancing sector ETFs would broaden the next-session reading; lower participation would weaken it. Use 5.27% as the ten-year closing reference; test whether a move above it coincides with weaker technology relative returns. Compare next-session participation with today’s 7/9 advancing leaders; fewer advancers would narrow leadership.

AheadMarket calendar

Upcoming events

Scheduled events as recorded when this issue was published. U.S. releases, Treasury auctions, tracked earnings and market-structure dates for this session and the next. Times in Central Time.

Report session · Tuesday, Oct 6

  1. 7:14 AM CTSource 8:14 AM ET
    ADP Weekly Employment Change

    EmploymentImportance: Low (source)

    Actual
    —
    Consensus
    —
    Previous
    20.0K
    Forex Factory Economic Calendar ↗
  2. 7:15 AM CTSource 8:15 AM ET
    ADP Weekly Employment Change

    EmploymentImportance: Low (source)

    Actual
    —
    Consensus
    —
    Previous
    22.5K
    Forex Factory Economic Calendar ↗
  3. 7:30 AM CTSource 8:30 AM ET
    Trade Balance

    TradeImportance: Low (source)

    Actual
    —
    Consensus
    -100.8B
    Previous
    -88.6B
    Forex Factory Economic Calendar ↗
  4. 9:01 AM CTSource 10:01 AM ET
    RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism

    Economic dataImportance: Low (source)

    Actual
    —
    Consensus
    44.5
    Previous
    45.6
    Forex Factory Economic Calendar ↗
  5. 9:45 AM CTSource 10:45 AM ET
    FOMC Member Bowman Speaks

    Central bankImportance: Low (source)

    Forex Factory Economic Calendar ↗
  6. 12:15 PM CTSource 1:15 PM ET
    FOMC Member Schmid Speaks

    Central bankImportance: Low (source)

    Forex Factory Economic Calendar ↗
  7. 3:30 PM CTSource 4:30 PM ET
    API Weekly Statistical Bulletin

    Economic dataImportance: Low (source)

    Forex Factory Economic Calendar ↗

Next session · Wednesday, Oct 7

  1. 9:30 AM CTSource 10:30 AM ET
    Crude Oil Inventories

    EnergyImportance: Low (source)

    Actual
    —
    Consensus
    2.1M
    Previous
    0.9M
    Forex Factory Economic Calendar ↗
  2. 12:01 PM CTSource 1:01 PM ET
    10-y Bond Auction

    Treasury auctionImportance: Low (source)

    Actual
    —
    Consensus
    —
    Previous
    4.83|2.7
    Forex Factory Economic Calendar ↗
  3. 1:00 PM CTSource 2:00 PM ET
    FOMC Meeting Minutes

    Central bankImportance: High (source)

    Forex Factory Economic Calendar ↗
  4. 2:00 PM CTSource 3:00 PM ET
    Consumer Credit m/m

    ConsumerImportance: Low (source)

    Actual
    —
    Consensus
    14.4B
    Previous
    18.1B
    Forex Factory Economic Calendar ↗
  5. Time not published
    17-Week Bill auction

    Treasury auctionOffering $75B · CUSIP 912797WY9

    U.S. Treasury Fiscal Data ↗
  6. Time not published
    9-Year 10-Month Note auction (reopening)

    Treasury auctionOffering $39B · CUSIP 91282CRF0

    U.S. Treasury Fiscal Data ↗

AheadForward look

What to watch next

Variables to monitor next, framed as conditions rather than predictions.

  • Participation above 10/11 advancing sector ETFs would broaden the next-session reading; lower participation would weaken it.
  • Use 5.27% as the ten-year closing reference; test whether a move above it coincides with weaker technology relative returns.
  • Compare next-session participation with today’s 7/9 advancing leaders; fewer advancers would narrow leadership.
01Cross-asset checks
  • Test whether DX-Y.NYB (-0.31%) and GC=F (+0.84%) retain their directional relationship in the next comparable window.
  • Test whether CL=F (+0.44%) and ^GSPC (+0.58%) retain their directional relationship in the next comparable window.
02Rates & confirmation
  • Use 5.27% as the ten-year closing reference; test whether a move above it coincides with weaker technology relative returns.
  • Look for agreement between equity direction, volatility and sector participation before treating the move as broadly confirmed.
03Technology leadership
  • Compare next-session participation with today’s 7/9 advancing leaders; fewer advancers would narrow leadership.
  • Check whether Nasdaq relative strength persists or converges with the S&P 500.
04Risk dashboard
  • Participation above 10/11 advancing sector ETFs would broaden the next-session reading; lower participation would weaken it.
  • Use 5.27% as the ten-year closing reference; test whether a move above it coincides with weaker technology relative returns.

Reference & methodology

Supporting reference levels, delivery options, and where every number on this page comes from.

13W T-BILL4.04%+2 bps
GOLD$4,191.90+0.84%
WTI CRUDE$89.82+0.44%
RUSSELL 20002,830.30-0.59%