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Archived editionYou are reading the Friday, October 2, 2026 close.

Figures are exactly as published after that session and are never revised. The current report lives on the Close Tape.

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ARCHIVED DAILY TAPEIssue 26.40

44/44 quotes verifiedThrough Oct 2 close · Yahoo FinanceSource details ↓

S&P 500 rises 0.73%Nearly every sector joined the advance

The equal-weight S&P 500 (RSP) +0.35% versus the cap-weighted SPY +0.74%, so the average stock trailed the biggest by 0.39 points. Nasdaq +1.19%, 0.46 points ahead of the S&P 500.

S&P +0.73%Breadth 10/11VIX -6.59%
01 / MARKETConstructive close

S&P +0.73%; Nasdaq +1.19%; VIX ended at 15.31.

02 / LEADERSHIPCons. Discretionary over Healthcare

A 1.14-point spread separated the best and worst sectors.

03 / INTERNALSBroad breadth

Cap weight outperformed by 0.39 percentage points. This is a participation proxy, not an attribution of index contributions.

BriefThe tape

Major indexes

Previous close to latest close. Sparklines show the verified regular-hours session path when available.

01

Overview

How today fits the recent run of sessions, and the markets you follow.

OverviewRegime history

Recent regimes

Today's regime in the context of recent sessions. Select a day to see its inputs.

LAST 60 SESSIONS14 constructive28 mixed18 defensive
ConstructiveFri, Oct 2, 2026S&P 500 +0.73% · VIX -6.59% · 10/11 sectors upPublished in that day's issue

Solid cells were published in an archived issue (11); outlined cells are reconstructed from daily closes with the same rule, using only that day's moves. Constructive: S&P 500 up, VIX down, all 11 sector ETFs reporting and at least 60% advancing. Defensive: S&P 500 down, VIX up, all 11 reporting and at most 40% advancing. Otherwise mixed.

OverviewHistorical context

How this session compared

Context is calculated only from earlier archived Daily Tape sessions, so the comparison never uses future data.

BREADTH VS PRIOR AVG+50.9 pp

Prior 10-session average: 40.0%

VIX SAMPLE RANK55%

Percentile rank within the current plus prior archived-session sample.

REGIME STREAK1

Consecutive archived sessions with the same regime classification.

LEADERSHIP STREAK1

Cons. Discretionary ranked first in 1 consecutive archived session and 1 of the last 10.

S&P 5-SESSION-0.28%

Compounded from five archived Daily Tape session returns.

02

Leadership & participation

What is actually participating in the move?

LeadershipSector leadership

Sector returns, ranked

All 11 sector ETFs ranked by session return, with weighting and participation checks.

CAP-WEIGHTED (SPY)+0.74%
EQUAL-WEIGHT (RSP)+0.35%
ADVANCING / DECLINING10 / 1
POSITIVE SECTORS90.9%

Cons. Discretionary (XLY) led at +1.13% and Healthcare (XLV) trailed at -0.01%, a 1.14-point gap. Interpretation: The return spread points to relative sector leadership, without establishing fund flows or a verified catalyst.

01Cons. Discretionary (XLY)+1.13%
02Technology (XLK)+1.01%
03Industrials (XLI)+0.78%
04Materials (XLB)+0.66%
05Utilities (XLU)+0.38%
06Comm. Services (XLC)+0.35%
07Real Estate (XLRE)+0.32%
08Cons. Staples (XLP)+0.25%
09Energy (XLE)+0.19%
10Financials (XLF)+0.06%
11Healthcare (XLV)-0.01%

LeadershipRelative strength

Performance versus SPY

Persistent leaders versus one-day winners, measured against SPY.

RELATIVE STRENGTH VS SPYPERCENTAGE POINTS OF TOTAL RETURN · LEADING = AHEAD OF SPY IN ALL THREE WINDOWS
Sector ETFs
Name1D5D1MTrend
TechnologyXLK+0.27 pp+2.01 pp+8.12 ppLeading
IndustrialsXLI+0.04 pp-0.06 pp-2.20 ppMixed
Comm. ServicesXLC-0.39 pp-2.13 pp-2.39 ppLagging
EnergyXLE-0.55 pp+1.48 pp-3.74 ppMixed
HealthcareXLV-0.75 pp-2.43 pp-4.36 ppLagging
Cons. DiscretionaryXLY+0.39 pp-0.25 pp-4.81 ppMixed
Cons. StaplesXLP-0.49 pp-1.64 pp-6.05 ppLagging
Real EstateXLRE-0.42 pp-1.59 pp-6.72 ppLagging
UtilitiesXLU-0.36 pp+1.03 pp-6.79 ppMixed
FinancialsXLF-0.68 pp-2.25 pp-7.75 ppLagging
MaterialsXLB-0.08 pp-1.67 pp-8.11 ppLagging
Tracked large caps
Name1D5D1MTrend
Meta PlatformsMETA-0.44 pp-2.91 pp+22.11 ppMixed
Micron TechnologyMU-2.79 pp-0.47 pp+11.60 ppMixed
NvidiaNVDA+0.60 pp+4.16 pp+3.56 ppLeading
MicrosoftMSFT+0.18 pp+0.47 pp+3.33 ppLeading
TeslaTSLA+3.91 pp-0.20 pp+2.97 ppMixed
AppleAAPL+0.28 pp-1.94 pp+1.86 ppMixed
AlphabetGOOGL+0.82 pp+0.10 pp+1.14 ppLeading
AmazonAMZN+0.59 pp+0.96 pp-2.17 ppMixed
BroadcomAVGO+2.61 pp+0.88 pp-3.93 ppMixed

LeadershipMarket internals

Breadth and participation

Participation measured across stated, tracked universes. None of these is presented as NYSE or Nasdaq constituent breadth.

SECTORS ADVANCING10 / 11

1 declined · 90.9% positive

EQUAL VS CAP WEIGHT · 1D-0.39 pp

RSP minus SPY. Cap weight led.

EQUAL VS CAP · 5D / 1M-0.4 pp / -4.5 pp

Total-return spread. Persistent positives favor broader participation.

20-SESSION HIGHS / LOWS4 / 0

Closing highs vs lows across 24 tracked instruments.

SECTORS ABOVE 20-DAY9%

1 of 11 sector ETFs above their moving average.

SECTORS ABOVE 50-DAY18%

2 of 11 sector ETFs above their moving average.

SECTORS ABOVE 200-DAY27%

3 of 11 sector ETFs above their moving average.

SECTOR ADVANCE / DECLINE · 20 SESSIONS-50Cumulative net advancing sector ETFs. Daily total return including dividends.
Sep 4: net -5, cumulative -5Sep 8: net -5, cumulative -10Sep 9: net -8, cumulative -18Sep 10: net -7, cumulative -25Sep 11: net +7, cumulative -18Sep 14: net -5, cumulative -23Sep 15: net -7, cumulative -30Sep 16: net -6, cumulative -36Sep 17: net +7, cumulative -29Sep 18: net -7, cumulative -36Sep 21: net +3, cumulative -33Sep 22: net +1, cumulative -32Sep 23: net -9, cumulative -41Sep 24: net -5, cumulative -46Sep 25: net +5, cumulative -41Sep 28: net -5, cumulative -46Sep 29: net -3, cumulative -49Sep 30: net -9, cumulative -58Oct 1: net -1, cumulative -59Oct 2: net +9, cumulative -50

Universes: 11 S&P sector ETFs; SPY and RSP; 20-session highs and lows across sector ETFs, tracked mega-caps, SPY, RSP, QQQ and IWM. Not covered by current data sources: NYSE and Nasdaq advance/decline counts; Exchange-wide new highs and new lows; Share of index constituents above moving averages. These are left out rather than approximated.

03

What drove the tape

The verified context around the session, the read it supports, and the names that set the pace.

DriversVerified catalysts

Verified news from the session

Developments published between the prior close and this report, from official sources first and allowlisted publishers second. Listed as context, never as the cause of a move.

  1. Official sourceEconomic data
    Major Economic Indicators Latest Numbers
    U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
INTERPRETATIONBASED ON OBSERVED DATA
“Equities, volatility and sector participation together support a risk-on reading.”

S&P 500 +0.73%; VIX -6.59%; 91% of sector ETFs rose. Interpretation reflects price relationships; no event catalyst is inferred.

DriversMega-cap & AI

Largest companies by market cap

The market’s largest leaders, ordered by market cap: close, session range, daily return, and the latest verified price path.

Among the largest stocks, TSLA led at +4.65% and MU trailed at -2.05%. Interpretation: Dispersion within the selected sample separates stock-specific exposure from the broader mega-cap narrative, with no catalyst verified.

NVDANvidia · $5.65T
+1.34%

NVDA +1.34%, 0.15 points ahead of the Nasdaq.

$233.95
DAY LOW $233.60DAY HIGH $237.87View asset
REGULAR SESSION5 MIN
AAPLApple · $4.87T
+1.02%

AAPL +1.02%, 0.17 points behind the Nasdaq.

$333.69
DAY LOW $330.61DAY HIGH $334.54View asset
REGULAR SESSION5 MIN
GOOGLAlphabet · $4.20T
+1.56%

GOOGL +1.56%, 0.37 points ahead of the Nasdaq.

$343.50
DAY LOW $341.16DAY HIGH $345.77View asset
REGULAR SESSION5 MIN
MSFTMicrosoft · $3.84T
+0.92%

MSFT +0.92%, 0.27 points behind the Nasdaq.

$517.53
DAY LOW $513.66DAY HIGH $522.50View asset
REGULAR SESSION5 MIN
AMZNAmazon · $2.71T
+1.33%

AMZN +1.33%, 0.14 points ahead of the Nasdaq.

$251.52
DAY LOW $250.02DAY HIGH $253.56View asset
REGULAR SESSION5 MIN
METAMeta Platforms · $1.85T
+0.30%

META +0.30%, 0.89 points behind the Nasdaq.

$728.08
DAY LOW $726.20DAY HIGH $741.58View asset
REGULAR SESSION5 MIN
AVGOBroadcom · $1.70T
+3.35%

AVGO +3.35%, 2.16 points ahead of the Nasdaq.

$355.14
DAY LOW $347.42DAY HIGH $357.35View asset
REGULAR SESSION5 MIN
TSLATesla · $1.46T
+4.65%

TSLA +4.65%, 3.46 points ahead of the Nasdaq.

$370.59
DAY LOW $359.41DAY HIGH $374.60View asset
REGULAR SESSION5 MIN
MUMicron Technology · $1.21T
-2.05%

MU -2.05%, 3.24 points behind the Nasdaq.

$1,074.89
DAY LOW $1,072.02DAY HIGH $1,107.86View asset
REGULAR SESSION5 MIN

04

Cross-asset & macro

Yields, oil, the dollar, credit, overseas closes and crypto: the read beyond U.S. equities.

MacroMacro pulse

Yields rose.
Oil fell.

The ten-year yield closed at 5.28%, a +4.00 basis-point change. Interpretation: Higher yields can raise the valuation hurdle for duration-sensitive equities, though co-movement does not prove causality.

POSITIVE SECTOR SHARE90.9%
Cap-weighted S&P +0.74% vs. equal weight +0.35%
S&P 500 / REGULAR SESSION7,722.72
Low 7,702.42 · High 7,752.40 · 78 points · Range change −11.21
DAY LOW7,700.51
DAY HIGH7,754.67
NASDAQ 1D+1.19%

MacroRates & credit

Treasury yields and credit

Session yields, the official Treasury curve, actual credit spreads and bond ETF proxies, each labeled with its source and date.

TREASURY YIELDSSESSION CLOSE (CBOE INDEX) · OFFICIAL PAR CURVE (U.S. TREASURY)
TenorSession close1DOfficial pard/d
3M3.990%+1 bps4.17%-3 bps
2YNo index—4.78%-10 bps
5Y5.050%+4 bps5.01%-8 bps
10Y5.280%+4 bps5.24%-5 bps
30Y5.630%+3 bps5.61%-3 bps

Official curve as of Oct 1 (prior session). Treasury publishes it late in the afternoon, so the Close Tape can show the prior session. U.S. Treasury ↗

CURVEBASIS POINTS
2s10s+46 bps+5 bps d/d2Y → 10Y · official curve as of Oct 1 (prior session)
3M–10Y+107 bps-2 bps d/d3M → 10Y · official curve as of Oct 1 (prior session)
5s30s+60 bps+5 bps d/d5Y → 30Y · official curve as of Oct 1 (prior session)
5s10s+23.0 bpsSession close5Y → 10Y · Cboe yield indexes
CREDITSPREADS ARE ACTUAL OAS · ETF ROWS ARE PRICE PROXIES
HYG ETF proxy$76.91+0.01% priceHigh-yield corporate bond ETF. A price, not a spread.LQD ETF proxy$101.83-0.20% priceInvestment-grade corporate bond ETF. A price, not a spread.
REAL YIELDS & RATE VOLATILITYTREASURY REAL PAR CURVE · ICE BOFA MOVE
5Y REAL YIELD2.65%-8 bps d/dTreasury real par curve as of Oct 1 (prior session)
10Y REAL YIELD2.88%-5 bps d/dTreasury real par curve as of Oct 1 (prior session)
TIP ETF proxy$104.11-0.19% priceTIPS bond ETF price, not a real yield.MOVE INDEX107.29-0.78%Treasury implied volatility · Yahoo Finance

MacroGlobal check

Overseas closes

Regional closes, daily direction, and each market’s latest verified path. Local closing times differ from New York.

MARKETREGIONCLOSE1DPATH
Nikkei 225Local close Oct 1Japan68,956.72+3.30%
Euro Stoxx 50Europe6,238.50+1.02%
FTSE 100United Kingdom10,461.95+0.32%
Hang SengLocal close Sep 30Hong Kong24,613.27+0.37%

MacroDigital assets

Major cryptocurrencies

Crypto trades around the clock; each move is measured over the reported session.

BTC-0.54%
$84,399
BitcoinView asset
VERIFIED PATH15 MIN

BTC-USD -0.54% for the reported session.

ETH-1.35%
$2,669
EthereumView asset
VERIFIED PATH15 MIN

ETH-USD -1.35% for the reported session.

SOL-0.19%
$118
SolanaView asset
VERIFIED PATH15 MIN

SOL-USD -0.19% for the reported session.

XRP-0.67%
$1.4800
XRPView asset
VERIFIED PATH15 MIN

XRP-USD -0.67% for the reported session.

05

Next session

What matters next: the takeaways from this close, the scheduled events, and what to watch.

AheadDecision summary

Three takeaways

The move, the cross-asset read, and the marker that matters next.

01Observed

The equal-weight S&P 500 (RSP) +0.35% versus the cap-weighted SPY +0.74%, so the average stock trailed the biggest by 0.39 points.

02Interpretation

Cap-weight outperformance is consistent with concentrated leadership, though it is not a measured attribution of index contributions.

03Next-session checks

Participation above 10/11 advancing sector ETFs would broaden the next-session reading; lower participation would weaken it. Use 5.28% as the ten-year closing reference; test whether a move above it coincides with weaker technology relative returns. Compare next-session participation with today’s 8/9 advancing leaders; fewer advancers would narrow leadership.

AheadMarket calendar

Upcoming events

Scheduled events as recorded when this issue was published. U.S. releases, Treasury auctions, tracked earnings and market-structure dates for this session and the next. Times in Central Time.

Report session · Friday, Oct 2

  1. 7:30 AM CTSource 8:30 AM ET
    Average Hourly Earnings m/m

    Economic dataImportance: High (source)

    Actual
    —
    Consensus
    0.3%
    Previous
    0.3%
    Forex Factory Economic Calendar ↗
  2. 7:30 AM CTSource 8:30 AM ET
    Non-Farm Employment Change

    EmploymentImportance: High (source)

    Actual
    —
    Consensus
    89K
    Previous
    162K
    Forex Factory Economic Calendar ↗
  3. 7:30 AM CTSource 8:30 AM ET
    Unemployment Rate

    EmploymentImportance: High (source)

    Actual
    —
    Consensus
    4.1%
    Previous
    4.1%
    Forex Factory Economic Calendar ↗
  4. 9:00 AM CTSource 10:00 AM ET
    FOMC Member Logan Speaks

    Central bankImportance: Low (source)

    Forex Factory Economic Calendar ↗
  5. 9:00 AM CTSource 10:00 AM ET
    Factory Orders m/m

    Business surveysImportance: Low (source)

    Actual
    —
    Consensus
    0.1%
    Previous
    0.9%
    Forex Factory Economic Calendar ↗
  6. 12:00 PM CTSource 1:00 PM ET
    FOMC Member Goolsbee Speaks

    Central bankImportance: Low (source)

    Forex Factory Economic Calendar ↗

Next session · Monday, Oct 5

  1. Time not published
    13-Week Bill auction (reopening)

    Treasury auctionOffering $95B · CUSIP 912797VS3

    U.S. Treasury Fiscal Data ↗
  2. Time not published
    26-Week Bill auction

    Treasury auctionOffering $82B · CUSIP 912797WU7

    U.S. Treasury Fiscal Data ↗

AheadForward look

What to watch next

Variables to monitor next, framed as conditions rather than predictions.

  • Participation above 10/11 advancing sector ETFs would broaden the next-session reading; lower participation would weaken it.
  • Use 5.28% as the ten-year closing reference; test whether a move above it coincides with weaker technology relative returns.
  • Compare next-session participation with today’s 8/9 advancing leaders; fewer advancers would narrow leadership.
01Cross-asset checks
  • Test whether DX-Y.NYB (-0.18%) and GC=F (-0.73%) retain their directional relationship in the next comparable window.
  • Test whether CL=F (-1.46%) and ^GSPC (+0.73%) retain their directional relationship in the next comparable window.
02Rates & confirmation
  • Use 5.28% as the ten-year closing reference; test whether a move above it coincides with weaker technology relative returns.
  • Look for agreement between equity direction, volatility and sector participation before treating the move as broadly confirmed.
03Technology leadership
  • Compare next-session participation with today’s 8/9 advancing leaders; fewer advancers would narrow leadership.
  • Check whether Nasdaq relative strength persists or converges with the S&P 500.
04Risk dashboard
  • Participation above 10/11 advancing sector ETFs would broaden the next-session reading; lower participation would weaken it.
  • Use 5.28% as the ten-year closing reference; test whether a move above it coincides with weaker technology relative returns.

Reference & methodology

Supporting reference levels, delivery options, and where every number on this page comes from.

13W T-BILL3.99%+1 bps
GOLD$4,171.80-0.73%
WTI CRUDE$91.51-1.46%
RUSSELL 20002,832.90+0.94%